
US Dollar Reaches Three-Month High as Rate Outlook Supports Demand
The US Dollar reached a three-month high on October 1 as rising Treasury yields and expectations that interest rates may remain elevated outweighed softer inflation data. The euro fell below $1.13, while the Japanese yen also weakened. Investors now await US employment, manufacturing and inflation figures for clearer policy signals.
Market Snapshot
- US Dollar Index: Reached approximately 101.66
- EUR/USD: Fell below $1.13, its lowest level in 17 months
- USD/JPY: Advanced as the dollar strengthened against the yen
- Spot gold: Traded near $4,156 per ounce
- Indian rupee: Weakened to approximately ₹95.99 per US dollar
These are intraday market levels and may change rapidly. reuters.com
What Is Supporting the Dollar?
The dollar’s resilience reflects several factors:
- US economic growth for the second quarter was revised upward to an annualised 2.2%.
- Private-sector employment increased by 90,000 in September.
- Treasury yields remain elevated.
- Federal Reserve officials continue to warn that inflation is above the 2% target.
- Political and fiscal uncertainty is placing additional pressure on European assets.
A stronger dollar increases costs for countries and businesses purchasing dollar-priced commodities, servicing US-dollar debt or importing energy.
It can also pressure emerging-market currencies, including the Indian rupee and Thai baht, while making gold more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
Markets will focus on:
- US weekly jobless claims
- September ISM Manufacturing PMI
- Upcoming US employment figures
- September CPI and producer-price data
- Further Federal Reserve commentary
These releases will influence whether the Fed raises interest rates in October, waits until December or keeps policy unchanged.
September 30: Mixed US employment, growth and inflation data released
October 1: Dollar reaches a three-month high; euro drops below $1.13
Next: Employment and manufacturing reports guide rate expectations
Later in October: Federal Reserve considers its next policy decision
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1. mitrade.comView Original


